Lithium price: MINING.COM EV Metal Index bounces back

Car sales are running at least 20% below 2019 levels with annualized June figures pointing to a 2020 light vehicle market of 76.6 million units. At the same time, electric vehicle penetration rates continue to climb.  

In Western Europe, according to market researcher Schmidt, for the first six months of this year, 216,000 battery-electric vehicles (BEVs, excluding plug in-hybrids) were sold. 

That’s up 44% from last year and more than was sold on the continent in all of 2018.  In contrast, the overall market in Europe is down 24%. Brussels’ emissions regulation requires 2.5 million electric cars hit the road this year and next.

In China, the world’s largest car market, BEVs accounted for 67,000 out of a total market of 1.68m units in June, with Tesla cornering 23% of the Chinese electric car market. 

China’s passenger car association expects electric car sales to be significantly higher in the second half of 2020 compared to last year,  when an unexpected change in Beijing’s subsidy scheme for green cars sent sales tanking. 

China is also sticking to its goal of 25% market share for electric and fuel cell vehicles by 2025. 

In the US the IEA anticipates that total BEV sales for 2020 will stay flat compared to last year at around 2.1 million units.

Lithium prices continue to languish

The MINING.COM EV Metal Index, which tracks the value of battery metals in newly sold EVs around the world, bounced back by more than 31% in May, after dropping to its lowest level since January 2018 in April.

The surge comes despite continuing deterioration in the battery raw material market. 

Lithium, graphite and cobalt prices eased again in May albeit slightly, while nickel used in the battery supply chain eked out a 2.5% month on month gain, climbing back above $14,200 a tonne (100% Ni basis). 

The deterioration in lithium prices, according to Benchmark Mineral Intelligence data has been relentless – trading at just over $7,000 a tonne in June from more around $11,600 the same month last year and more than $17,700 in mid-2018. 

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